New Publication and Online Risk Calculator: Machine Learning Risk Prediction of Mortality for Patients Undergoing Surgery with Perioperative SARS-CoV-2: the COVIDSurg Mortality Score

COVIDSurg Collaborative, GlobalSurg Collaborative (Martin J). Machine learning risk prediction of mortality for patients undergoing surgery with perioperative SARS-CoV-2: the COVIDSurg mortality score. Br J Surg 2021. doi: 10.1093/bjs/znab183. Online ahead of print.

 

Abstract: To support the global restart of elective surgery, data from an international prospective cohort study of 8492 patients (69 countries) was analysed using artificial intelligence (machine learning techniques) to develop a predictive score for mortality in surgical patients with SARS-CoV-2. We found that patient rather than operation factors were the best predictors and used these to create the COVIDsurg Mortality Score (https://covidsurgrisk.app). Our data demonstrates that it is safe to restart a wide range of surgical services for selected patients.

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